Unsold Research Bulletin

Vol. 1 — How Unsold grades

Methodology of record: GRADING.md v2.2.0 · typeset from source, nothing paraphrased

Download the pressed PDF · or print this page — the stylesheet finishes the job.

How Unsold grades

Methodology v2.2.0 — 2026-07-27 (launch)

This is the whole method, in public. Unsold penalizes proprietary blends; it would be strange to run on one. Every number below lives in src/engine/score.ts and src/engine/ingredients.ts, and every grade in the catalog can be reproduced on your machine in seconds.

What a grade is, and what it is not

Unsold grades the label's best case. Every stamp assumes the Supplement Facts panel is telling the truth — the doses as printed, the forms as named. Most products fail anyway.

Independent laboratory testing answers a different question: is the label true? That question matters, and the answer can move a grade in only one direction. An F on paper cannot be redeemed by a lab. An A on paper still has to survive one.

The office grades the promise. It does not test the powder, and it does not pretend to.

What the letters mean

GradePlain language
A+Top-of-range clinical doses, best-in-class forms, nothing hidden. Rare on purpose.
A / A-Dosed like they actually read the research. Buy with confidence.
B+ / B / B-Mostly honest and mostly effective, with a soft spot or two — a light dose, a cheaper form, one thing undisclosed.
C+ / C / C-Middling. The right ingredients shy of the doses that make them work, or fine on paper and cheap in the details. Not a scam, not a standout.
D+ / D / D-Sprinkles of the good stuff priced like the full dose. Mostly filler and fairy dust.
FMarketing with a Supplement Facts panel attached.

The cutoffs are the familiar academic ones (97/93/90 for A+/A/A-, and so on down). A grade is a compressed summary — the per-ingredient breakdown is the actual argument, and it is always one tap away.

The pipeline

Each product runs through the same six steps, in order, every time:

  1. Dose normalization. Every labeled dose is converted into the reference ingredient's canonical unit (mg ↔ mcg, IU → mcg for vitamin D). A dose we cannot honestly convert is not guessed at — it is set aside.
  2. Clinical-range banding. The normalized dose is compared against the clinically studied range in the reference table: effective (interpolated 90–100 by position inside the range), above-range (86), excessive (68), slightly under (62), underdosed (42), trace (24), meaningless trace (12). Concealed doses score 34.
  3. Form-quality modulation. Ingredients are not interchangeable chemicals. Magnesium glycinate absorbs; magnesium oxide mostly passes through. Each form carries a 0–1 quality factor, and a cheap form can dock up to 40% of the band score.
  4. Blend-concealment penalties. On top of each hidden ingredient's low score, the whole grade is shaved in proportion to how much of the formula is hidden inside proprietary blends (up to 40% of the grade), plus a flat extra penalty when a hero active — the ingredient you are actually buying the product for — is the thing being hidden.
  5. Weighted mean. Ingredient scores roll up into one 0–100 number, weighted by how much each ingredient matters (hero actives up to 2.0, incidental fairy dust as low as 0.6).
  6. Letter cutoffs + deterministic flags. The number maps to a letter, and pure rules over the computed scores emit the flag chips: proprietary blend hides the doses, underdosed hero ingredient, cheap ingredient form, most of the formula is hidden, every dose disclosed, and so on. The one-line verdict comes from a fixed template table. No step anywhere in this pipeline involves randomness, the clock, the network, or a model generating text.

The stance

Why blends are penalized. A hidden dose is worse than a known-bad dose. A known-bad dose you can at least see; a hidden one asks you to pay for a promise. "Proprietary blend" is not a formulation secret — the FDA already requires every active in the blend to be named, just not quantified. The only thing concealed is the part that lets you judge value. So concealment is graded as what it is: a choice to keep you from checking.

Why forms matter. Two labels can print "400 mg magnesium" and deliver wildly different amounts of usable magnesium. Grading the molecule and ignoring the form would grade the marketing, not the product.

Why unscored rows exist. If an ingredient is not in the clinical reference table, we show it and score nothing. We never invent a dose range we cannot cite. An unrecognized ingredient is neutral — it neither helps nor hurts the grade — because "we haven't reviewed it" is not evidence of anything.

What "unscorable" means. If a product contains nothing we can score — an all-novel formula — it does not get a fabricated grade. It gets an explicit "nothing recognizable to grade" result. A grade we cannot support is worse than no grade.

A worked example of the philosophy: the concealed-blend fix

For a while, the concealment math had a hole. The blend penalty counted hidden rows only when the hidden ingredient was also in the reference table. A row hidden in a blend and unrecognized escaped entirely — it didn't count as hidden mass, and in products where it was the only blend row, the product didn't even register as having a blend.

The predictable result: a multi-collagen product hid its entire active formula behind one row labeled "Proprietary Blend" and graded B+ on its two disclosed token vitamins. A pre-workout parked a 13.5-gram stimulant matrix in unrecognized blend rows and graded B on the handful of ingredients it chose to disclose.

That is backwards. A label does not get less suspicious because the thing it hides is obscure — the less we can identify the hidden mass, the more the concealment is the story. The fix: concealment now counts every blend-hidden row, recognized or not. Unrecognized hidden rows still get no per-ingredient score (we never invent a range), but their mass counts toward the "most of the formula is hidden" penalties and flags. Those two products dropped to C and C-, and 47 other products with the same pattern moved down with them. No product was special-cased; the rule changed, the math followed.

Certainty

A grade says how honest and well-dosed a label is. It does not say how strong the science behind the ingredients is — creatine and coffee-fruit extract can both be dosed perfectly, and they are not equally proven. So every result also carries a small evidence: mark next to the grade: high, solid, emerging, or early. Each reference ingredient is tiered by the citations behind its row (A: meta-analysis, position stand, or multiple RCTs; B: two or more controlled trials; C: a single trial or clearly limited human evidence; D: observational, traditional-use, or mechanism-only), and the mark reports which tier dominates the scored formula, weighted by how much each ingredient matters. It rides alongside the grade and never changes it — an F built on high-certainty evidence is still an F, and an A built on early evidence is still an A.

Reproducibility

The engine is a pure function. Same label data in, same grade out — no randomness, no dates, no network, no LLM.

``bash npm run verify # 17 checks: worked examples, determinism, flag rules, # full-catalog integrity, a data-provenance lint, and an # evidence-tier lint — then prints every graded product # and the distribution npm test # unit tests + a full-catalog snapshot test ``

The snapshot test (src/engine/snapshot.test.ts) records every product's grade, numeric score, concealment fraction, and flags. Any tuning change — a constant, a reference range, a data edit — shows up in the pull request as a complete, line-by-line diff of its consequences. CI runs verify, tests, and a build on every PR and posts the grade distribution as a comment. If a grade in the app ever disagrees with what npm run verify prints on the same commit, that is a bug, and we want to hear about it.

What grades are NOT

  • Not a safety assessment. An F does not mean a product is dangerous and an A+ does not mean it is safe for you. Interactions, contraindications, allergies, pregnancy, medication — none of that is in scope.
  • Not medical advice. Unsold grades whether a label delivers the doses and forms the clinical literature studied. Whether you should take anything is a conversation for a clinician who knows your history.
  • Not a review of the brand. We grade formulas, not companies. A brand can earn an A on one SKU and an F on the next; several do.
  • Not permanent. Labels reformulate. Each grade is a dated snapshot of a specific panel from the source cited on its result page. If the tub in your hand prints a different panel, the label wins — confirm against the physical product before you buy.

Changelog

  • v2.2.0 — 2026-07-27 (launch). First versioned public snapshot of the methodology, including the certainty indicator described above. This document lived as unversioned working notes in the repo before launch; v2.2.0 is simply the moment it started keeping count, numbered to match the catalog's DATA_VERSION so the doc and the data never drift apart.

Supplement formulas change. This verdict reflects the label data on file as of its source date. Always confirm against the physical label before you buy. Unsold grades formulas, not brands — and we're not doctors. This is information, not medical advice; check with a qualified healthcare professional before changing what you take.

UNSOLD

Deterministic supplement grading. Same label in, same verdict out — no accounts, no affiliate links, nothing to sell you. Grades formulas, not brands. Not medical advice.